Analytics
Your Edge
— Proven strategies with positive expectancy — focus here.10 -- Stock (wheel)
58 trades
Net P&L
$16261
90d P&L
$6717
Win rate
84.5%
PF
1.28
Avg hold
33.1d
High win rate but poor payout ratio — winners are too small relative to losers; try letting profitable trades run longer
Closing winners too early — winners close faster than losers; consider using trailing stops to capture more upside
Long average hold time (33 days) — ensure theta/time-decay risk is being managed
Expectancy: $280/trade (avg win $1524, avg loss $-6493)
41 -- Synthetic: invest
138 trades
Net P&L
$7117
90d P&L
$-1233
Win rate
76.8%
PF
1.68
Avg hold
16.3d
Positive edge — profit factor above 1.5×
Holding losers too long — losers stay open 2.4× longer than winners on average
Expectancy: $52/trade (avg win $165, avg loss $-326)
R:R 0.51 — breakeven at 66% WR, you have 77% (thin margin)
38 -- Iron Condor
59 trades
Net P&L
$2824
90d P&L
$1322
Win rate
66.1%
PF
1.55
Avg hold
22.5d
Positive edge — profit factor above 1.5×
Expectancy: $48/trade (avg win $204, avg loss $-256)
R:R 0.80 — breakeven at 56% WR, you have 66% (thin margin)
Good profit factor 1.55 — consistent positive expectancy
21 -- Wheel: CSP
85 trades
Net P&L
$2151
90d P&L
$-41
Win rate
81.2%
PF
5.41
Avg hold
3.0d
Strong edge — profit factor above 2.5× with solid sample size
Expectancy: $25/trade (avg win $38, avg loss $-30)
R:R 1.26 — need 44% WR to break even, you have 81% (+37pp margin)
Strong profit factor 5.41 — durable edge, consider sizing up
23 -- Covered Call
163 trades
Net P&L
$1464
90d P&L
$85
Win rate
79.8%
PF
1.35
Avg hold
4.5d
High win rate but poor payout ratio — winners are too small relative to losers; try letting profitable trades run longer
Expectancy: $9/trade (avg win $43, avg loss $-126)
R:R 0.34 — breakeven at 74% WR, you have 80% (thin margin)
Marginal profit factor 1.35 — thin edge, size carefully and mind commissions
Neutral / Developing
— Marginal or insufficient data. Trade at reduced size until more data.33 -- Put Credit Spread
251 trades
Net P&L
$463
90d P&L
$129
Win rate
77.7%
PF
1.03
Avg hold
9.5d
Marginal edge — barely above breakeven after commissions
High win rate but poor payout ratio — winners are too small relative to losers; try letting profitable trades run longer
Holding losers too long — losers stay open 2.9× longer than winners on average
Expectancy: $2/trade (avg win $81, avg loss $-273)
37 -- Butterfly
77 trades
Net P&L
$90
90d P&L
$58
Win rate
54.5%
PF
1.03
Avg hold
13.8d
Marginal edge — barely above breakeven after commissions
Holding losers too long — losers stay open 3.2× longer than winners on average
Expectancy: $1/trade (avg win $73, avg loss $-85)
R:R 0.86 — breakeven at 54% WR, you have 55% (thin margin)
Unassigned
1 trades
Net P&L
$0
90d P&L
$0
Win rate
0.0%
PF
0.00
Avg hold
0h
Too few trades to draw conclusions (need 5+)
39 -- Calendar / Diagonal
7 trades
Net P&L
$-57
90d P&L
$-72
Win rate
42.9%
PF
0.64
Avg hold
20.8d
Holding losers too long — losers stay open 86.8× longer than winners on average
Expectancy: $-8/trade (avg win $35, avg loss $-40)
R:R 0.86 — breakeven at 54% WR, you have 43% (thin margin)
Stop / Review
— Net negative or degrading. Pause and review what's wrong.31 -- Call debit spread
242 trades
Net P&L
$3838
90d P&L
$-127
Win rate
77.3%
PF
1.50
Avg hold
12.1d
Holding losers too long — losers stay open 3.9× longer than winners on average
Expectancy: $16/trade (avg win $62, avg loss $-141)
R:R 0.44 — breakeven at 69% WR, you have 77% (thin margin)
Marginal profit factor 1.50 — thin edge, size carefully and mind commissions
42 -- Synthetic: trade
96 trades
Net P&L
$333
90d P&L
$-78
Win rate
74.0%
PF
1.04
Avg hold
11.9d
Marginal edge — barely above breakeven after commissions
High win rate but poor payout ratio — winners are too small relative to losers; try letting profitable trades run longer
Holding losers too long — losers stay open 2.6× longer than winners on average
High commission drag — fees consume ~31% of average trade P&L; consider wider spreads or fewer contracts
51 -- Hedge
14 trades
Net P&L
$-154
90d P&L
$0
Win rate
57.1%
PF
0.65
Avg hold
2.3d
Net losing strategy — consider reducing size or reviewing entry rules
Closing winners too early — winners close faster than losers; consider using trailing stops to capture more upside
Expectancy: $-11/trade (avg win $35, avg loss $-72)
R:R 0.48 — breakeven at 67% WR, you have 57% (thin margin)
34 -- Long calls
52 trades
Net P&L
$-1823
90d P&L
$0
Win rate
59.6%
PF
0.42
Avg hold
10.8d
Net losing strategy — consider reducing size or reviewing entry rules
Expectancy: $-35/trade (avg win $42, avg loss $-149)
R:R 0.28 — breakeven at 78% WR, you have 60% (thin margin)
Negative profit factor 0.42 — total losses outpace wins, reassess entry criteria
35 -- LEAPS
78 trades
Net P&L
$-2576
90d P&L
$-204
Win rate
80.8%
PF
0.65
Avg hold
15.4d
Net losing strategy — consider reducing size or reviewing entry rules
High win rate but poor payout ratio — winners are too small relative to losers; try letting profitable trades run longer
Holding losers too long — losers stay open 8.9× longer than winners on average
Expectancy: $-33/trade (avg win $75, avg loss $-488)
32 -- Put debit spread
107 trades
Net P&L
$-2867
90d P&L
$386
Win rate
61.7%
PF
0.59
Avg hold
14.1d
Net losing strategy — consider reducing size or reviewing entry rules
Holding losers too long — losers stay open 4.2× longer than winners on average
Expectancy: $-27/trade (avg win $63, avg loss $-171)
R:R 0.37 — breakeven at 73% WR, you have 62% (thin margin)
36 -- Call credit
95 trades
Net P&L
$-5768
90d P&L
$1199
Win rate
61.1%
PF
0.44
Avg hold
8.1d
Net losing strategy — consider reducing size or reviewing entry rules
Holding losers too long — losers stay open 2.2× longer than winners on average
Expectancy: $-61/trade (avg win $78, avg loss $-278)
R:R 0.28 — breakeven at 78% WR, you have 61% (thin margin)